That policy shift means developers worldwide will face higher costs. In the US, storage and solar projects relying on Chinese equipment will likely see about a 9% cost increase in Q4. Analysts expect inverters to lose their export rebate soon, too, adding more upward pressure.
Equipment procurement costs for solar and energy storage will jump around 9% starting in Q4 2025, marking the end of the bargain pricing developers have enjoyed for the last 18 months. That’s because China is changing the rules. Wood Mackenzie points to three major drivers behind the coming spike: Polysilicon consolidation.
Solar and storage prices are about to rise after a year and a half of record lows, according to new data from Wood Mackenzie. Equipment procurement costs for solar and energy storage will jump around 9% starting in Q4 2025, marking the end of the bargain pricing developers have enjoyed for the last 18 months.
In part, that reflects the fact that, amid a production glut, exporting Chinese-made panels has become more difficult. Xinjiang accounts for about 40 per cent of global manufacturing capacity of polysilicon, the material needed to make solar wafers and cells.
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