“What we found is that with the 60% tariff, the cost [of a turnkey energy storage system] increases by 60% compared to 2025, so this is quite a big cost jump if the US actually decided to do so,” Kikuma says.
To achieve this, an optimization model is constructed with the objective of minimizing average electricity costs under the prevailing time-of-use pricing policy. The comprehensive evaluation metrics is built using specific CO 2 emissions, average electricity cost, dynamic capital payback period, and energy self-sufficiency rate.
As the share of renewable energy in the energy system increases, the peak-to-valley electricity price gap may widen due to the declining in the cost of renewable energy generation costs or narrow, or may narrow due to the increasing in grid dispatch costs .
That means costs in 2026 would return back to 2024 levels which could slow down the growth in US energy storage deployments, but the analyst says that even so, BNEF anticipates that the momentum of the country’s energy storage industry and growth in deployments would remain strong.
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